Full transcript

[00:04.9]
Hello, my name is Wyatt Kinney. I'm the Asia Pacific Regional Analyst with the Everbridge Global Insights team. In this briefing, I'll provide an overview of the Bangladesh national elections coming up on February 12, 2026, with a focus on the political context and near term operational considerations.

[00:21.7]
To begin, here's a brief overview of the election. Bangladesh is scheduled to hold parliamentary elections in a national referendum on February 12, 2026. The vote will take place under the interim administration led by Chief Advisor Muhammad Yunus. The election and referendum are intended to support a return to parliamentary governance following political changes in 2024.

[00:43.2]
The pre election environment remains closely managed with elevated administrative coordination and security oversight. Turning to the political context shaping the election, the February 2026 elections are taking place under an interim administration. The current electoral fields include the Bangladesh Nationalist Party, also known as the bnp, the Jamaat e Islami Party and the National Citizen Party, also known as ncp.

[01:09.9]
Voter voters will take part in a referendum on the July Charter which outlines proposed governance reforms. International observation missions, including from the European Union are present to monitor the process. Next, I'll touch on security conditions and political activity during the election period.

[01:29.0]
Election periods in Bangladesh are typically accompanied by increased political mobilization, expanded security force deployments, tighter controls around key locations. In the current cycle, authorities are, have emphasized preventative measures, rapid response to gatherings, protection of polling related infrastructure.

[01:50.2]
Recent incidents involving political figures, have contributed to a more cautious security posture. Increased monitoring of campaign events and demonstrations. Current indicators suggest activity related risks remain localized, primarily in like urban centers.

[02:07.9]
Disruption is more likely to take the form of movement restrictions and traffic controls than sustained civil unrest. Urban centers, particularly in daca, are expected to experience the most noticeable operational constraints during the election period.

[02:25.5]
Related to this, it's also important to address protest activity and urban disruption. DACA has experienced public demonstrations and labor related actions in the period leading up to the election. In response, authorities have implemented traffic controls and restricted zones near government facilities during the election period, primarily from February 11th through the 13th.

[02:49.7]
There's a high likelihood of, you know, localized road closures, delays to public services, general movement restrictions. Briefly I'll address the terrorism and extremism risk environments. Security assessments indicate an elevated but non, a non specific risk of opportunistic activity during the election period.

[03:11.6]
There is no confirmed reporting of an imminent or coordinated extremist plot. Any potential incidents would most likely involve low complexity methods and public or symbolic locations. For most organizations, this translates to general situational awareness rather than a targeted threat exposure.

[03:32.4]
Finally, there are important economic and trade considerations to keep in mind. Bangladesh plays a central role in global textile and apparel manufacturing, including logistics. Short term disruption could affect inland transport, port operations and custom administrative processes.

[03:52.0]
These impacts are expected to be time limited and operational rather than structural. Regional and global effects would most likely involve schedule variability, not supplied loss. The outlook so looking ahead to the immediate period around the election, pre election period, during the election and post election so pre election period there's going to be an increased security presence and administrative control controls.

[04:18.7]
During the actual election period on February 12th expect temporary disruption to mobility and government services. Post election conditions will depend on administrative sequencing and political responses. To conclude the February 12, 2026 Bangladesh National Elections represents a defined operational period requiring planning and awareness.

[04:43.6]
The main considerations relate to mobility, scheduling and administrative pace. Conditions are best characterized as managed and time bound rather than actual unrest.

Full transcript

[00:04.9]
Hello, my name is Benjamin Olson, Regional Analyst for Sub Saharan Africa on Everbridge’s Global Insight Team and today I want to draw your attention to the tight post election environment taking place in Uganda where President Yoweri Museveni has been declared the winner for a seventh term.

[00:21.3]
The vote is over but key issues do remain unresolved. The opposition has rejected the results. Security forces do maintain heavy presence in urban areas and information access has been constrained for organizations. This is no longer about election day security but about post election risk.

[00:39.8]
In summary, the incumbent government has declared victory, the opposition is disputing the outcome and is calling for public mobilization on the streets. The main opposition leader Bobby vine, has gone into hiding due to security concerns. Fatalities have been reported alongside heightened rhetoric from senior security figures on social media.

[01:01.4]
Security postures do remain elevated and communication disruption tactics including Internet blackouts and social media restrictions have been put in place. The combination has created a controlled but sensitive environment where even a small incident here can trigger localized disruptions.

[01:20.2]
Historically based on Uganda’s past elections and renewal trends in East Africa, most likely path forward here is not a nationwide unrest, but episodic localized disruption that includes short notice protests, rapid crowd control operations and temporary movement and access restrictions.

[01:40.3]
These will likely persist for weeks beyond the election even as daily life largely continues. What happens in Uganda matters beyond its borders. The country sits along a critical east trade and transit corridor linking Kenya’s ports to Rwanda, South Sudan and the drc.

[01:59.2]
Even localized instability can disrupt regional logistics and cross border movements with most direct exposure to mineral trade including gold and copper, with downstream implications for manufacturing, luxury goods and commodity finance.

[02:14.9]
Agriculture supply chains, coffee and tea are also exposed to these delays driven by trucking, import disruption, potential border closures and communication outages. Disruption here does not need to be widespread to affect the global supply chain, timeability and reliability.

[02:33.7]
For companies, the risk here is operational duty of care, exposure of staff mobility, trans disruptions from checkpoints or security operations, community challenges affecting accountability and response, delays in logistics compliance, screening, insurance coverage.

[02:51.9]
This is where preparation will matter for future elections. The key takeaway from all this organizations should be have flexible movement planning, redundant communications, clear staff accountability protocol and monitor constantly urban flashpoints and trade corridor disruptions.

[03:12.7]
Uganda here is not an outlier, it’s a reference case building on patterns seen in 2025 for how elections across Sub Saharan Africa are increasingly shaping risks. After the ballots are casts in 2026 we’re going to have multiple African countries holding elections.

[03:31.9]
They will include the Republic of Congo, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Guinea Bissau Cabo Verde, Sao Tomen, Principe, Zambia, South Sudan, the Gambia, and South Africa. Thank you so much for your attention.

Full transcript

00:05.0]
Hey everybody, my name is Adam Deluc. I’m the Director of Risk Intelligence here at Everbridge. It’s nice to be with you today. Although, as I’m sure you guys already know, you know what I’m going to talk about. And it’s the first major winter storm of 2026. There have already been winter advisories and warnings going out to millions of people across the United States, mostly in the Southern Plains and throughout the mid Atlantic for, the storm that’s expected to develop later in the week on Friday.

[00:31.7]
It looks like the storm’s being fed by a lot Arctic air and combining with the moisture in the Gulf. It’s going to produce snow, it’s going to produce sleet, freeze and rain, and maybe most importantly, ice throughout the southern region of the United States. When it comes to timing, you know, Friday, the snow, the sleet, the ice are expected to start around the Southern Plains in the Mississippi Valley, moving east on Saturday as the storm kind of intensifies.

[00:55.3]
And then really the wintry, precipitation, and the snow in the mid Atlantic and the worst impacts are expected there, you know, throughout the day on, on Sunday. So it’s very early in the forecast, right? Like it’s only Wednesday. So, you know, snowfall totals are still kind of, varying based off, what models you’re following.

[01:15.5]
They’re talking about maybe 14 inches in a place like Nashville, or even 20 in Washington D.C. so we can see some major snowfall. But I think like we saw in 2021 with the, power outages, throughout Texas. You know, this can be very serious without the snow, with just ice, with aging infrastructure in a lot of areas in this country that aren’t used to hand, these kind of events, anytime there’s been ice and somewhere like Atlanta, you know, the emergency services, they’re just not prepared to handle these winter events like some places up north.

[01:48.4]
So, you know, we can expect major power outages and supply chain impacts maybe even lasting into next week. Obviously, human safety is going to be a major issue. It is going to be very cold. So there’s a lot of combinations going into this storm that are going to make it unsafe.

[02:03.8]
And the size of it, it’s just going to affect a lot of people and a lot of organizations. So organizations consider tightening their travel policy, obviously exploring redundancies and power and supply chain. And like I said, your people are your most important asset. What are you doing to keep them safe?

[02:20.1]
What kind of wellness checks and emergency communication plans do you have in place? For a storm like this. And then what messaging are you kind of telling your people before the storm? Make sure they’re monitoring the National Weather Service for advisories, stocked up on essential goods, their prescriptions, food, you know, generators.

[02:37.5]
If you have outdoor power, above ground power lines, you know, prepare for these power outages, maybe provide locations for them, alternative, locations. If they do lose power, where can they go to stay warm during the storm? You know, stay off the roads. Visibility and travel is going to be a nightmare.

[02:54.9]
Continue to monitor for these emergency management declarations and what they should do to stay safe during the storm. Then obviously after the storm they’re going to be cascading impacts. We talked about supply chain and power outages and infrastructure issues, but closers to transit, to schools, snow removal can be extremely unsafe.

[03:15.1]
So for God’s sake do that safely. You know, the impacts are expected to go into next week on this one, but you know, here at Everbridge we’re doing everything we can to take this very seriously. We have live layers, KML layers, updating constantly with new information, unexpected snow totals, warnings, live power outage numbers, emergency, management, road closures.

[03:36.2]
So all that’s updating live on our, on our site right now. Not to mention the strategic analysis that we’ll put into kind of some of the risk and vulnerabilities that might be exposed a storm like this and kind of what are the impacts moving forward and some potential mitigation strategies there. So we have you covered end to end from an intelligence standpoint, with this storm.

[03:55.9]
And we’ll continue to monitor and provide updates. Please reach out to us if you have any questions or concerns or any safety issues with your organization too. I’m Abdelucca. I hope you guys have a great rest of the week and stay safe during this storm.

Full transcript

[00:04.9]
afternoon everybody. My name is Adam DeLuca. I'm the director of Risk Intelligence here at Everbridge. First of all, I did want to wish Everybody a happy 2026. I know it has been an eventful start to the year with what occurred in Venezuela, the Russian oil tanker, and now what happened today in Minneapolis.

[00:20.5]
So during a large federal immigration enforcement operation today, an ICE officer shot and killed a 37 year old woman in her car. Federal officials have come out and said the shooting occur while the woman was allegedly trying to run over the agents and the agent fired in self defense.

[00:38.4]
However, local authorities in some bystander video appear to contradict that federal narrative and suggested the woman was just trying to move her car when she was shot. Local, officials, including Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Fry, strongly condemned the shooting, called it reckless and called for ICE to vacate the city.

[00:57.2]
Protests obviously erupted at the scene. Some federal agents used tear gas to disperse the crowds. Now I am not here to comment one, way or the other on what actually happened, but I do know that incidents like these and the incidents like the George Floyd situation a few years ago can galvanize national protest movements.

[01:17.8]
Specifically in sanctuary cities. They increase the risk of civil disorder, especially where local leaders oppose some of the federal enforcement tactics that are being used by the current administration. One thing I've talked about many times and continues to be a major concern for businesses is domestic violent extremism.

[01:35.2]
Flashpoint events such as this can lead the lone wolf actors on one side of the aisle or another to take actions into their own hands based off their own ideology to conduct some of these lone wolf attacks that we've seen domestic violent extremists conduct, especially against federal, buildings or immigration facilities.

[01:56.5]
I expect there to be broader scrutiny of ICE operations, congressional hearings, IG reviews, probably moratorium on some of those raids. Just general discourse, on both sides of the in general, calls for restructuring and possibly defunding.

[02:13.1]
It's going to echo the situation in Portland back in 2020. But obviously with the higher stakes due to the fatality of the bystander today, this is expected to have a chilling effect on immigrant communities nationwide. Probably a reduced reporting in crime, some decreased civic participation, social fragmentation.

[02:33.1]
Regardless of the specifics of the incident, it's likely to intensify fear. And that is going to have an effect on businesses in a var different ways. Whether that's groups that offer aid to immigrant families, or just operational risk in specific sectors that rely on the immigrant communities.

[02:50.2]
And a big thing I touched on earlier is going to be the risk exposure to federal facilities and personnel, stemming from an incident like this. There should be an elevated security posture for those dealing with the Fed and around federal buildings nationwide following an incident like this.

[03:06.1]
So we're going to keep our eye on the situation, as it develops, continue to report out and provide forward leaning analysis. But definitely in the next couple days, due to the size and coverage of this event, you can expect, it to have a galvanizing effect and possibly lead to larger scale protests or civil disorders.

[03:24.6]
So we'll keep an eye on the situation, but, hope everybody has a good rest of the day. Take care.

Full transcript

[00:05.3]
Hello, my name is Christian Robles and I am the regional analyst for Latin America and the Caribbean here at Everbridge. Today we’re tracking fast moving developments of Venezuela following a major US military operation that has triggered political uncertainty, internal changes and broader regional ripple effects.
[00:25.7]
During the early morning hours of January 3rd, the United States carried out Operation Absolute Resolve. The strikes targeted military and communications sites and Venezuelan authorities later reported damage at or near strategic infrastructure including La Guaira port, where local officials said missiles destroyed warehouses and caused significant disruption.
[00:49.9]
According to Venezuelan and Cuban officials, more than 80 people were killed, including 32 Cuban military and intelligence personnel. Cuba confirmed the deaths, stating that those personnel were assigned to Venezuela under bilateral security cooperation and were killed during combat and bombardment.
[01:10.6]
The outcome of the operation was unprecedented. President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Celia Flores were captured and flown to the United States. And on January 5th both appeared at A Manhattan Federal court and pleaded not guilty to drug trafficking charges while Maduro told the court he had been kidnapped.
[01:35.4]
From this point forward, uncertainty is the defining feature. US messaging towards Venezuela’s interim leadership has been mixed, reinforcing ambiguity around the path ahead. President Donald Trump has publicly stated that the United States could effectively run Venezuela until a transition is achieved, framing US objectives in a way that includes leveraging the country’s oil sector.
[02:07.1]
At the same time, senior U.S. officials have indicated that they expect cooperation from Acting President Delsey Rodriguez with warnings reported that failure to cooperate could result in consequences even worse than Maduro.
[02:23.5]
In parallel, Secretary of State Marco Rubio has sought to narrow that message, emphasizing coercive leverage aimed at producing democratically elected transition rather than day to day US Governance. Rubio has also argued that Venezuela’s next leader should ultimately be determined through free elections, particularly given disputes over the legitimacy of Maduro’s 2024 electoral victory, which the United States and several other countries never recognized.
[02:58.9]
Meanwhile, in Venezuela, the Maduro aligned state structure remains in place. The country’s judicial system directed Del Rodriguez to assume executive authority. She has publicly demanded Maduro’s release while also signaling interest in diplomatic engagement.
[03:17.1]
Also adding to the uncertainty, Venezuela has declared a state of emergency. While there have been no confirmed reports of curfews, the emergency framework increases the likelihood of movement, restrictions, communication disruptions and expanded security operations.
[03:33.8]
The decree also authorizes the detention of individuals accused of supporting the US attack, raising near term repression risks. On the ground, pro regime mobilization is already visible. Reporting describes pro government rallies, some involving armed participants, including groups known as colectivos, which are motorcycle based networks that have historically functioned as informal enforcement arms aligned with the state.
[04:03.7]
This raises the risk that even with Maduro removed, localized violence or parallel security actions could complicate any transition and keep security conditions in Caracas at the regional level.
[04:19.5]
Neighboring governments are closely monitoring border dynamics to limit spillover. While borders remain largely open, heightened security postures and the potential for checkpoints or inspections could disrupt Cross border trademark logistics and migration flows.
[04:36.5]
If conditions deteriorate beyond the region, the strategic implications are significant. Internationally, the operation is raising concerns about precedent. Even as Washington frames the action as law enforcement or counternarcotics, critics argue it challenges norms around sovereignty and territorial integrity.
[05:00.2]
If normalized, this could lower the threshold for other states to justify similar cross border operations, increasing global instability. For Russia and China, Venezuela’s upheaval represents a strategic setback. Both invested heavily in Venezuela as a key partner in the Western Hemisphere.
[05:20.5]
While condemning the operation, they may now seek to reinforce influence elsewhere, including in East Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. As the United States signals renewed focus in regions nearby, we will continue to monitor developments closely, including the security environment in Caracas, emergency measures, border and trade implications, and evolving geopolitical responses.
[05:47.5]
The Global Insights Team Team will publish relevant updates as new confirmed information becomes available.

Full transcript

[00:04.9]
Everybody, my name is Adam DeLuca. I'm the director of Risk Intelligence here at Everbridge. I know I've been popping on these a lot lately, but unfortunately, things, continue to happen, that we need to highlight, for our customers and partners. Just last night, gunman attacked a Hanukkah celebration at a popular tourist spot in Australia called Bondi beach.

[00:28.3]
They killed 11 people in an act of anti Semit. And obviously there's been a wave of anti Semitism in Australia over the past years with vandalism and attacks, on the rise throughout the country. It's the deadliest shooting in Australia in almost three decades.

[00:46.0]
One suspect is in custody, the other is dead. It occurred just hours after another shooting at Brown University, where an individual who's still at large opened fire in a school building, killing two and injuring dozens of other students.

[01:04.0]
These are horrible and sad events, but unfortunately they continue to happen. Violent extremism, something that we've talked about many times, it is cheap, it's easy to conduct, and it's very tough to detect and deter. Once an individual is motivated by ideology or something else, they're very difficult to stop.

[01:23.9]
And I still think organizations are overlooking this as a threat. There are things that you can do to mitigate these risks. In spite of these being cheap, easy and difficult to detect, you can conduct vulnerability and threat assessments. You need to identify your high value targets and your high value events.

[01:42.5]
You need to continue monitoring and understand tactics, tradecrafts and procedures like vehicle rammings, especially around this time of year. For Christmas markets in Europe and other outdoor events. You need to leverage dark web monitoring and good open source intelligence so you understand the threat landscape.

[01:59.4]
You need to harden perimeters, control access. You need to randomize security patterns to make yourself and your security less predictable. And you need to enhance your partnerships with law enforcement. And these are all things that you can do to mitigate these risks and keep your people safe this time of year with all these high profile events happening.

[02:19.5]
So, I hope everybody stays safe and has a great rest of the weekend here at Everbridge. We'll continue to monitor and provide updates as necessary. I hope everybody has a great day.