[00:04.9]
everybody. My name is Adam DeLuca. I'm the director of Risk Intelligence here at Everbridge. I wanted to welcome Dr. Renee Kuestler and Dr. Andrew Clary. Renee is a public health physician, and Andrew is the Deputy Chief Medical Officer here at Everbridge. He also has a background in maritime medicine.
[00:22.3]
And we're just going to talk about the hantavirus here for a little bit today. Obviously, very topical on everybody's mind. So we wanted to get two experts on to kind of explain the situation and how we can make businesses more resilient. Andrew, Renee. Good to see you guys today. Nice to be here. Thanks. Yeah.
[00:38.1]
So, Renee, I'll start with you. You know, this all started with an, expedition cruise ship that left Argentina. Can you maybe give us some details about how this all came to pass and why it's on everybody's mind? Yes. Well, the MV Hondias, is an expedition cruise ship that left Argentina on April 1.
[00:56.4]
There were about 147 people on board from a variety of countries around the world. To. To date, so far, there have been eight reported cases of hantavirus linked to the ship, including six confirmed Andes strain hantavirus infections and three deaths.
[01:12.0]
Those three deaths are the main reason that we're really seeing this in the media right now. We're also starting to see additional confirmed cases after passengers have returned home, including one case in the United States, one case in France that was just reported, last night, and today, this is expected, given the incubation period of hantavirus, which can be up to six to eight weeks.
[01:33.3]
The ship arrived in the Canary Islands over the weekend. Passengers were disembarked and repatriated to their home countries on private, controlled flights, not commercial travel. And each country is now monitoring and managing passengers according to their own public health protocols.
[01:49.0]
This remains a coordinated international response focused on identifying cases early and also preventing any further spread. You know, obviously, I'd be remiss, that there was a worldwide pandemic just a few years ago. Obviously, Covid is still on everybody's mind, especially when a new virus kind of enters the news and enters our vernacular, and we might not know much about it.
[02:12.0]
Can you just tell us a little bit about Hantavirus and maybe how it's similar or dissimilar to Covid? Yeah, certainly. Well, hantavirus has actually been around for a long time. It's a group of viruses that are primarily carried by rodents, such as mice and rats.
[02:28.0]
People typically become infected through contact with either dust or materials that are contaminated with rodent urine or rodent droppings. You may be hearing a lot of comparisons to COVID 19, but these are very, very different viruses. COVID 19 spreads very easily from person to person through the air.
[02:46.8]
But hantavirus does not behave that way in this current situation. There has been no evidence of spread beyond the individuals linked to the cruise ship. So it's important to remember that hantaviruses, they're not new, they've been known about for decades and there have been studies about them and we do have cases sporadically throughout the world each year.
[03:06.9]
Now the risk of human to human transmission, has been a big topic of conversation, especially with the fear about the new COVID pandemic. For most hantaviruses there's no person to person spread. There's only one strain which happens to be the strain involved in this situation.
[03:24.7]
It's called the Andes strain that comes from South America. And it's the only one known to occasionally spread between, close, between people. Even then the transmission is very rare and it requires very close and prolonged contact such as within households or within caregiving settings or within a cruise ship.
[03:45.0]
It does not spread through casual contact travel, everyday interactions. So importantly, in this event, there's been no evidence so far of transmission outside of that group related to the ship. So contacts identified during repatriation, some people that were on the same flights as ill patients, even some that have developed symptoms have all tested negative so far, which is very reassuring.
[04:10.3]
That's good to know, especially somebody like myself who avoids contact with rats and rodents at all costs. The human to human, transmission is still kind of unlikely if you're without close contact. You know this, we're coming up around the time of year, you know, summertime, lots of travel.
[04:28.3]
We have these made major events, the World Cup, a lot of countries from South America participating and coming to the United States, Mexico and Canada. You know, for those that are due to travel, are there any precautions that individuals or organizations should take with this virus kind of coming back to the news?
[04:47.7]
Yeah, at this time there are no changes to travel plans recommended. The World Health Organization is continuing to assess the overall risk from this event is very low and there are no travel restrictions in place. This situation is linked to a very specific exposure and a very specific setting on one cruise ship.
[05:06.9]
It's not related to routine travel at this time. So for most travelers there's no increased risk. More generally, Hantavirus is best prevented by avoiding contact with rodents or contaminated environments. So particularly in rural or undeveloped areas, good travel practices, including hand hygiene and pre travel health advice for higher risk destinations remain very important.
[05:33.0]
Okay, so Andrew, I'd like to get your take on this. With infectious disease episodes like this occurring and obviously with COVID being very much on organizations and individuals minds, how can businesses develop resilience?
[05:48.8]
Not just a hantavirus or Covid, but when diseases, infectious diseases like this come up, how can they protect themselves and their peers, people? Yeah, it's a really important question and we saw with the COVID pandemic quite the scale of the impact that it had on organizations, irrespective of their location and the nature of their business.
[06:08.2]
In an interconnected world, we all become in fact impacted upon by these sort of episodes hopefully. And we've all heard very reassuring features from Dr. Kuesler about the limited impact of this so far. But it's understandable that businesses would want to get ahead of the curve I suppose in terms of their own business and their own operation.
[06:29.5]
Obviously if they've got any team members that are perhaps within the group that was on the expedition or associated with it, they're going to be immediately thinking about, well, how do they limit any potential further exposure within their organisation or operation? We all learned during the pandemic about the potential benefits of remote work and certainly there might be a need for organizations if they do have anyone that identified via the contact tracing that the public health bodies are performing that could be at risk, then capitalising on that remote work opportunity that thankfully technology now allows us to do with far greater ease and convenience could be a really important part of that.
[07:05.2]
As we've heard from Dr. Kussler, the incubation period, the time between contracting the infection and suffering from it can be quite lengthy with hantavirus, so it would need operations and businesses to be far more flexible than perhaps we've seen with some of the return to office programs that have come in post pandemic.
[07:23.1]
But that would certainly help protect further spread within an organisation and deal with sometimes what we see with the kind of cultural approach to presenteeism where infections can spread amongst a group of workers, which maybe if it's something just like the common cold virus, wouldn't be too worrying to a business.
[07:39.6]
But with evolving trends showing ongoing increases in viral infectious diseases of different natures and more severity and complexity, it can be important to just question is being in the workplace with feverish illness really the right thing for a business to be condoning or supporting.
[07:57.2]
So yeah, capitalizing on those opportunities, it's always worthwhile a business considering, the different global patterns that we see. So at the moment there's nothing that's suggesting that there will be a need to adjust or alter the operations within shipping routes, for example from Argentina or South America.
[08:17.1]
But obviously it is an evolving situation. And as we see public health reports, developing as testing, contact tracing evolves with this story, there is the possibility that the shipping routes, shipping lines may come under greater scrutiny or new processes or procedures.
[08:33.6]
And again, just being ahead of the curve and even just having the data knowing exactly what level of your shipping, your supply routes, your supply chains are involved in that region or that route could be a really important process so that if changes come about, you can be in that resilient position to make the change ahead of time rather than behind time.
[08:53.6]
And then otherwise just continue to encourage your team to operate good personal hygiene and safety practices that keep people safe. Of course vaccine mandates are very outdated and it's not something that's sort of encouraged or adopted frequently now, but making sure that your teams have ready and easy access to occupational health, that they've got pre travel screening opportunities like we offer here at Everbridge to make sure that team members that are on business travel have got all the information they need to protect themselves when they're traveling to different parts of the world, including considering any vaccines they may want to take.
[09:27.1]
Although it's important to just note that there isn't a hantavirus vaccine that's widely available at the moment. But in terms of protecting yourself from other infectious illnesses, vaccines can be an increasingly important part of that kind of protection bubble. So each of those personal and business related elements can help just broaden out that resilience that a business has.
[09:46.7]
When we see episodes like this, develop which with the data, data trends out there around increasing travel, increasing travel to different parts of the world and the increase in crossover of zoonotic, so viral infections from animals across into human species.
[10:02.4]
It's important that we have that increased awareness and preparation so that we can react promptly to these issues when they come around. I think you mentioned something that's really important. It's flexibility, being able to adapt to these situations. You know, when risks and vulnerabilities expose themselves to organizations and individuals, the ability to pivot and adapt, adapt is extremely important to build resiliency and I think it's important.
[10:26.7]
I'm glad you highlighted that. You know, Dr. Cleary, Dr. Kuzler, thank you so much for your time today. It's great to know that our assist teams, our medical, teams here at Everbridge are on the situation. They're going to be communicating with customers and producing, medical Risk intelligence on the topic, to make sure that we're, and you all are staying ahead of the situation and again, allowing yourself to build that resiliency in the face of this kind of ongoing situation.
[10:54.8]
Thank you guys, so much again. I hope you have a wonderful day, and thank you, everybody, for joining us. Thank you. Bye. Bye. Bye.
[0:05]
Hello, my name is Joel Chepregi and I'm the regional analyst for the Middle east and North Africa at agribidge's Global Insights team. Today I will outline the current state of the U. S Iran negotiations and what they mean for business operations in the Gulf, wider Middle east and global supply chains.
[0:22]
The central development is that Iran is reviewing a U.S. peace proposal and Washington expects an Iranian answer within roughly 24 to 48 hours, making this a critical decision point for regional security and global business continuity. The first pathway is rejection and the relapse into open conflict if Iran rejects the proposal.
[0:41]
US President Donald Trump has threatened renewed and intensified strikes against Iran. This would create the highest impact business risk with renewed disruption in Gulf shipping, energy infrastructure, regional air corridors, port operations, insurance markets and sanctions compliance.
[0:59]
The second pathway is acceptance and a contested de escalation. If Iran accepts the proposal, the most immediate military risks would ease, but it would not restore normal operations. Maritime security would remain fragile. European navies are reportedly surging towards the Strait of Hormuz to join US Forces and guarantee passage in case of a deal.
[1:20]
But naval presence alone cannot eliminate asymmetric threats. Iran could still disrupt traffic through mines, drones, missiles, fast boat harassment or attacks on nearby port infrastructure. Transport disruption would also persist. Around 1,600 commercial vessels remain delayed or stranded along, the Strait of Hormuz, and clearing that backlog would take significant time.
[1:44]
Even under a deal, vessel movement would likely resume unevenly with priority given to energy cargo, essential goods and ships already positioned for escorted transit. Energy operations would remain exposed. Gulf energy infrastructure has been partially shut down, degraded or operating under emergency conditions, and nearby facilities could remain vulnerable to renewed attacks or precautionary shutdowns.
[2:10]
Sanctions risk would remain volatile. Sanctions against Iran could be suspended, reimposed or reinterpreted on short notice, creating compliance uncertainty for firms with direct or indirect regional exposure. For businesses, the key takeaway is that this is not a binary choice between crisis and stability as, the two realistic scenarios are a relapse into conflict or a tense negotiation period marked by partial recovery and recurring disruption spikes.
[2:40]
That means companies should prepare for both pathways. Now for the conflict pathways, firms should be ready for rapid, decisions on rerouting inventory buffers, personal security and, movement, supplier continuity and sanctions exposure.
[2:56]
For the negotiation pathway, firms should plan for uneven vessel clearance, intermittent security alerts, sudden airspace or port restrictions, sanctions uncertainty, and elevated volatility in freight, fuel and insurance costs. The bottom line is a rejection would sharply raise the risk of redoed strikes and broader disruption a deal would reduce immediate escalation risk, but it would not restore operational stability.
[3:23]
In both cases, businesses should treat the Middle east operating environment as strategically important but highly volatile and still in rapid transition.
[00:05.0]
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining. Today's video focused on 2026 Mayday, otherwise known as International Workers Day. My name is James Burr and I'm a Senior Regional Analyst on Everbridge's Global Insights team. Mayday is expected to bring widespread demonstrations, rallies and public gatherings across multiple regions globally.
[00:23.4]
While many events will remain peaceful and even celebratory, the scale and concentration in major cities mean localized disruptions are highly likely. This year, we're also seeing broader themes shaping participation, particularly cost of living pressures, geopolitical tensions and concerns around labor displacement, including artificial intelligence.
[00:43.6]
Overall, the primary risk is operational rather than security driven, but escalation remains possible in select environments. Starting in Europe and Latin America, these regions present the highest likelihood of disruption. Countries like France, Germany, Spain, Brazil, Brazil and Argentina are expecting large scale mobilizations and coordinated union activity, particularly in capital cities and economic hubs.
[01:08.0]
Elsewhere in the Asia Pacific region, activity is more uneven. Indonesia and the Philippines are expected to see notable demonstrations, while countries like China and Australia are more focused on holiday travel, which may still strain transport systems.
[01:23.7]
Across the Middle east and North Africa, activities mix, with Turkey standing out due to a higher risk of disruption from large planned rallies in Istanbul. Most other countries will see more controlled or symbolic events. Meanwhile, in North America, protests are expected to be widespread across major US and Canadian cities, with generally localized and short term impacts.
[01:45.8]
Finally, in sub Saharan Africa, events are largely formal or state organized, though Nigeria and South Africa may see more active labor mobilization now. From a business perspective, the key risks are operational. Expect transport disruptions, including road closures, public transport delays and restricted access to commercial districts, particularly from late morning through mid afternoon.
[02:08.6]
There is also a risk of localised supply chain delays, especially where protests intersect key logistics corridors or ports. While most events are expected to remain peaceful, isolated clashes, property damage or heightened security measures could create short term disruptions, particularly where counter protests or political tensions are present.
[02:29.8]
Even in low risk markets, holiday travel surges may still impact employee mobility and logistics. So, looking ahead, the overall risk profile for Mayday 2026 remains manageable but highly localized. The most significant disruptions will likely be concentrated in major urban centres, particularly in regions with active labour movements or ongoing economic pressures.
[02:51.6]
For businesses, early planning, such as adjusting travel, monitoring local developments and maintaining operational flexibility will be key to minimizing impact. Escalation risk remains situational, tied to turnout levels, policing posture and the presence of opposing groups.
[03:09.8]
In short, while Mayday is a predictable annual event, this year's broader social, economic and geopolitical context may amplify participation and with it. The potential for disruption. Thank you for listening.
[00:05.4]
everybody, my name is Adam DeLuca, I'm the director of Risk Intelligence here at Everbridge and I'm joined here today by Caitlin Gillespie, our new Chief of Meteorology here at Everbridge. And you know, we just want to jump on real quick. There's obviously a major developing situation in the western Pacific.
[00:22.2]
So far the strongest storm of the year to date. And we wanted Caitlin to kind of get on and share her expertise. So Caitlin, could you maybe explain to us what, what's going in the western Pacific, why the storm so serious and why we should pay attention to it? Absolutely.
[00:37.7]
Thank you so much for having me on, Adam. So Sin Lake, who really put on a display of rapid intensification yesterday in the western Pacific and it reached that peak intensity of category 5 hurricane equivalent intensity with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph.
[00:56.2]
Now that is all due to very light upper level winds, extremely warm temperatures in the western Pacific. All those ingredients very supportive of a very powerful typhoon that we've seen. Now what makes this one a little bit different is typhoons are possible at any point in the year.
[01:14.0]
However strong typhoons like sinleiku and equivalent are quite rare this early in the calendar year. In fact, we actually need to go back to 1989 with Super Typhoon Andy, to kind of mimic a, an early season threat this close to Guam in the Northern Mariana Islands at this time.
[01:33.8]
But I did, just before our conversations, I did get the latest from the Joint Typhoon Warning center out of Hawaii. And Sin laku is about 160 miles east of Guam at this time, creeping northwestward at about 8 mph, but maintaining that 175 mile per hour maximum stained wind.
[01:54.1]
So that category 5 intensity still there even this afternoon. Adam, that's really interesting though. I mean this storm's happening this early and it's that large of a storm. Based off what you're seeing in some of the forecast models, do you think that this is indicative of a trend or is this just a myopic one off event?
[02:10.8]
Well, I really think, you know, with the developing and brewing El Nino that's been really hitting the news headlines and of course the weather, the weather chatter, I really do see that this could be a trend that we need to monitor going into the central and eastern Pacific seasons with that bring El Nino that will translate across much of the Pacific as those temperatures come down in the tropical waters.
[02:35.2]
That's obviously unfortunate for organizations with assets and interests in the area. You know, with the situation going on in the Middle east, the conflict between Iran, Israel and the United States. It's caused a lot of fuel shortages and supply chain issues specifically in the APAC region, due to their kind of lack of redundancies in their fuel supply chain.
[02:55.8]
You know, obviously a storm like this is going to complicate that. You know, what other kind of sectors or myopic, risks and vulnerabilities are going to be highlighted due to a storm like this. Absolutely. You know, when we're watching the track here, the biggest thing that when we're talking about tropical cyclones is they're not a point on the map.
[03:16.5]
Right. They are large, they are all encompassing and the way I like to phrase it, they're not multi hazardous. They're all hazardous because it's not just what's on the face value of the forecast, it's those cascading impacts that go underneath the surface as well. So you know, while the track really hasn't shifted all that much more recently, you know it will keep the center of Sin Lake you off to the north and east of the islands of Guam and Rota, focusing its attention more on Tinian and Saipan at this time.
[03:42.9]
But with that, I mean right before our conversation I did go ahead and measure the, the widespread nature of this system, the footprint that it has. And we're seeing tropical storm force winds expand 200 miles plus away from the center of this system.
[03:58.4]
So even without a direct impact, you know, Guam and Rota we can expect some very dangerous and devastating cond. You know, with those all encompassing things, we're looking at winds, rainfall, and of course coastal flooding as well. So you know, right now we're starting to see those showers and thunderstorms move onshore well ahead of this system that's saturating our soils even more.
[04:19.2]
So with that of course is going to come the landslide potential, increasing even after landfall. Power outages of course and of course the, the strain on energy and transportation and local infrastructure that can be expected and those will continue even after landfall Tuesday and into Wednesday.
[04:36.9]
And we're expecting rainfall totals in excess of 10 to 20 inches in such a short period of time. Yeah, storms like this and with other global events happening really kind of highlight the cascading impacts and damage that a storm does. Not just you know, locally with, with mudslides or storm surge but, but some of these other things relating to supply chain and transportation and energy infrastructure.
[04:59.7]
Oh, Caitlin, really appreciate you jumping on first rapid resilience video you've been here about a week. We're very excited to, have you. Caitlin's got an extensive background in emergency management, so she's going to understand intelligence and be able to voice that, through her experience in meteorology as well.
[05:17.7]
We're just. We're so excited to have you here. Thank you, Adam. I cannot wait to be joining this team and all the impacts that that Everbridge has a hand in. I am so thrilled to be providing some meteorology background and knowledge to every piece of it. Great. Thank you so much. Enjoy the rest of your day, everybody.
[05:34.1]
Thank you.
[00:05.0]
Hello, my name is Zsolt Chapregi. I'm the regional analyst for the Middle East and North Africa at Everbridges Global insights team. Today I will outline the current state and immediate forecast on the U. S Iran ceasefire negotiations scheduled for Saturday, April 11.
[00:20.1]
These talks matter because the current de escalation in the Iran war remains partial and highly vulnerable. The ceasefire is already showing visible strain on amid disputes over what was actually agreed, continued pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and spillover from Israel's military campaign against Hezbollah in Lebanon.
[00:38.9]
By the time talks begin, roughly a quarter of the two week polls announced by US President Donald Trump on April 7 will have already passed. An extension is possible and in fact may become necessary. But the compressed timeline still creates major anxiety for markets.
[00:54.9]
And as president Trump has warned that failure to meet US Demands could trigger renewed escalation, the ceasefire itself has not created a secure business environment in the Middle East. Kinetic signaling, contested interpretations of the truce and negotiation failure could all reignite escalation.
[01:12.1]
But even if the talks continue, the ceasefire sustains most of the economic disruptions. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained by Iran with traffic still well below predictably pre conflict levels. That keeps energy markets nervous, raises transportation and insurance costs and sustains uncertainty for firms dependent on gulf shipping, refined products or time sensitive cargo.
[01:37.0]
Regional airspace disruptions and reduced schedules have not fully normalized across graph linked travel corridors, meaning companies should still expect rerouting delays, elevated operating costs and short notice itinerary changes. A further complication is Lebanon.
[01:54.3]
Israel is continuing its war against Hezbollah even as prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has also authorized direct peace talks with Lebanon. That cuts both ways. On the one hand, continued fighting in Lebanon could hinder or even destabilize the U. S Iran negotiations.
[02:10.8]
On the other, if talks between Jerusalem and Beirut gain traction, they could eventually support a broader U. S led regional security framework and a more secure operating environment for businesses across the Middle east and the eastern Mediterranean. My current assessment is that both Washington and Tehran still interested in moving beyond the most severe phase of the crisis.
[02:34.7]
So the talks are more likely to drag and stumble than to collapse outright after the first round. That said, a durable agreement still looks unlikely in the near term for businesses. That means that the main risk is not an immediate restart of a full scale war, but a more volatile middle EAs over the coming weeks and months with periodic setbacks, isolated incidents raising the risk of renewed escalation.
[03:00.5]
This means continued disruptions to shipping, aviation, energy planning and executive risk management from a resilience perspective. This is the time to stress test continuity plans, review supply chain dependencies linked to Gulf shipping and air corridors, confirm crisis management and travel risk procedures, and ensure decision makers remain ready to for short notice disruption.
[03:24.1]
Companies should also begin considering scenarios not only for renewed escalation, but for a longer term restructuring of the Middle east after the war, including shifts in security alignments, trade corridors, energy flows and investment patterns. These are all aspects that we at Everbridge's Global Insights team will analyze in depth as the U S Iran talks unfold.
[00:05.4]
And thanks for joining. My name is James Burr and I'm a Senior Regional Analyst for Europe, the Caucuses and Central Asia. As of early April, we're seeing a developing security concern across parts of Europe involving attempted and low level attacks targeting US linked businesses and sites as well as Jewish linked institutions and places of worship.
[00:26.1]
This assessment is based on publicly available reporting, including recent incidents in Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway and the UK as well as the most recent foiled explosive device plot outside a Bank of America office in Paris. While attribution remains unclear, in several cases some attacks have been claimed by a pro Iran group, the so called Islamic Movement of the Companions of the Right.
[00:50.3]
Against the backdrop of heightened tensions linked to the war involving Iran, what we're seeing is not a pattern of high complexity mass casualty attacks, but rather, low complexity symbolic targeting. The Paris plot for example, appears to have involved relatively simple means and potentially decentralized actors, possibly recruited or coordinated through informal channels.
[01:14.3]
Separately, there have been arson and attack plots reported across several European countries. And a recent explosion outside the US Embassy in Oslo reinforces the risk of symbolic targeting of diplomatic or US affiliated sites. Taken together, this suggests a potentially diffuse cross border threat environment where individuals or small cells act with limited sophistication but clear ideological alignment.
[01:41.6]
For businesses, particularly those with visible US Israeli or Jewish affiliations, the risk is less about major acts of violence and more about accessibility and symbolism. Offices in urban centers, especially those with recognizable branding, can be approached through normal foot traffic, making them inherently harder to fully secure.
[02:03.5]
Even unsuccessful or low impact incidents can still lead to operational disruption, including police cordons, restricted access, increased security checks and short notice travel obstacles. There's also a reputational and duty of care dimension as employees may feel heightened concern, particularly at or near businesses or locations where incidents have recently taken place.
[02:29.1]
Looking ahead, we assess that security postures around US Linked and other symbolic sites in Europe will remain elevated in the near term. But the key variable is attribution. If a clearer Iran linked or proxy enabled network is confirmed, threat could become more sustained and geographically widespread.
[02:49.6]
In the meantime, the most likely scenario is a continuation of sporadic low complexity incidents with potential for copycat activity or opportunistic targeting. So for clients, the focus should be on situational awareness, employee movement, planning and engagement, local security guidance, rather than expecting large scale attacks, but also not dismissing the cumulative impact of smaller ones.
[03:17.0]
Thank you for listening.
[00:05.1]
Good morning. My name is Christie Majoros. I am the Regional Analyst for North America on Everbridge's Global Insights team. I'm sure you've all seen quite a bit in the news lately on the ongoing government shutdown situation. This is affecting the Department of Homeland Security. This department encompasses many other government agencies, and the debate really centers on the funding and reform for ICE and also, to some extent, Border Patrol.
[00:31.6]
However, we are seeing the lack of funding playing out in other arenas, most noticeably, TSA funding. So airports are experiencing these very long TSA screening lines, due to TSA personnel calling out or quitting, as they've not received a paycheck since mid February.
[00:55.7]
However, there have been developments on this front late last week and also yesterday, March 30th. I'm just going to outline a couple of those updates and give you a couple of takeaways. So on Friday afternoon, the Senate agreed upon and pushed forward a funding proposal, that would fund the Department of Homeland Security except for ICE and Border Patrol.
[01:24.1]
They sent this to the House for approval. It was not approved in the House. The House instead put forth a proposal for a continuing resolution. This would fund the Department of Homeland security at, 2025 fiscal year levels through May 22nd.
[01:43.2]
This resolution would need to be approved by the Senate and the President to move forward. However, Congress is now entering a two week recess, so decision on this matter will be postponed.
[02:02.7]
Should this resolution be passed when Congress returns, this will solve the immediate problem, restore funding for the Department of Homeland Security at least through May 22nd. However, in May, this is likely to continue to be a problem as the underlying problem of funding and reform for ICE has not been resolved.
[02:28.2]
If the resolution doesn't pass through the Senate, then the shutdown is likely to continue until a new funding proposal, is put forth. The situation regarding pay for TSA personnel also remains similarly unsolved, unresolved.
[02:47.3]
On Friday, the President issued an order for the Department of Homeland Security to go ahead and give those workers their back pay. So on Monday and also Today, Tuesday the 51st, they are receiving those checks that they missed, since February when the shutdown started.
[03:07.3]
However, it is unclear at this time whether this order also covers the next paycheck or only their back pay. So we could be seeing a situation in about two weeks where TSA workers are again not being paid, which would again lead to longer lines at the airports and renewed pressure on Congress to find a solution.
[03:35.7]
Now, there are really two takeaways from this situation. The first is that although the immediate situation has eased somewhat, it has not been resolved. Airports are likely to continue to see chaos in the coming weeks and months unless there is a more permanent solution arrived at.
[04:00.5]
The other big takeaway from this is that as, the national political environment has become more volatile, over the past couple of years, the use or threat of government shutdowns has become more common and they have become more prolonged.
[04:19.4]
What this means for businesses and organizations is that they should plan for the continued disruption of national infrastructure. If a funding proposal for ICE is found and agreed upon in the next couple of weeks, this would end the current shutdown and business would, resume as normal.
[04:41.6]
However, in terms of TSA disruption, this may take a while to normalize, as the agency saw. Hundreds of agents, quit during the current shutdown.
[04:57.6]
And also the presence of ICE at the airports is likely to continue until the situation normalizes, and this in and of itself may generate some controversy. So I would say what I say at the end of all of these videos, which is that businesses and organizations should hope for the best, but plan for the worst.
[05:19.1]
This means that even if the current situation is resolved, businesses and organizations should move forward on the assumption that further disruption to national infrastructure or government funding is subject to short term change and disruption.
